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Statistical Analysis and Prediction of the Population of China Based on ARIMA Model
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WANG Yanfei1, Wu Shan2
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1.School of Science ,Jilin Institute of Chemical Technology , Jilin Jilin,132022, China
2.School of Mathematical Sciences, Hebei Normal University , Jilin Jilin,132022, China
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Abstract
In this paper, descriptive statistics and time series analysis are used to analyze and forecast the population of China and its related indicators, including birth rate, death rate and so on. The ARIMA models are obtained respectively, and the index data from 2017 to 2022 are predicted. Compared with the real value, the models show better effect. The basis for the national formulation of relevant population policies is provided.
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Published: 25 May 2023
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